Inicio

WP 2012-07: Using Survey Data on Inflation Expectations in the Estimation of Learning and Rational Expectations Models

WP 2012-07
TitleUsing Survey Data on Inflation Expectations in the Estimation of Learning and Rational Expectations Models
Author(s) Arturo Ormeño
Language English
Date 2012/02/29
Abstract

Do survey data on inflation expectations contain useful information for estimating macroeconomic models? I address this question by using survey data in the New Keynesian model by Smets and Wouters (2007) to estimate and compare its performance when solved under the assumptions of Rational Expectations and learning. This information serves as an additional moment restriction and helps to determine the forecasting model for inflation that agents use under learning. My results reveal that the predictive power of this model is improved when using both survey data and an admissible learning rule for the formation of inflation expectations.

Download link Download WP: Using Survey Data on Inflation Expectations in the Estimation of Learning and Rational Expectations Models

Mesa de partes

Horario de atención:
Lunes a Viernes: 9:00 am - 4:30 pm

Mesa de partes virtual

mesadepartesvirtual@bcrp.gob.pe
(Formato PDF, máximo 15 MB)
 

Canje de Numerario

Horario de atención:

Lunes a Viernes: 9:15 am - 3:15 pm