Home

WP 2012-13: The Real Output Costs of Financial Crisis: A Loss Distribution Approach

WP 2012-13
TitleThe Real Output Costs of Financial Crisis: A Loss Distribution Approach
Author(s) Daniel Kapp and Marco Vega
Language English
Date 2012/05/31
Abstract

We study cross-country GDP losses due to financial crises in terms of frequency (number of loss events per period) and severity (loss per occurrence). We perform the Loss Distribution Approach (LDA) to estimate a multi-country aggregate GDP loss probability density function and the percentiles associated to extreme events due to financial crises. We find that output losses arising from financial crises are strongly heterogeneous and that currency crises lead to smaller output losses than debt and banking crises. Extreme global financial crises episodes, occurring with a one percent probability every five years, lead to losses between 2.95% and 4.54% of world GDP.

Download link Download WP: The Real Output Costs of Financial Crisis: A Loss Distribution Approach

Follow us

Jobs and Internships opportunities

Parts Desk

Opening hours:

Monday to Friday: 9:00 am - 4:30 pm

Virtual Front Desk

mesadepartesvirtual@bcrp.gob.pe

(PDF format, maximum 15 MB)